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Politics - December 31, 2024

Raw data: The US murder surge is nearly over

Raw data: The US murder surge is nearly over

If Jeff Asher's Real-Time Crime Index is to be believed—and it probably is—our 2020 surge in homicides is now all but over:

Raw data: The US murder surge is nearly over

On an international basis, our murder rate is very high—thanks mostly to the wide availability of guns—but it's now barely higher than it was before the pandemic. Overall violent crime and overall property crime never surged in the first place and are also at their old levels.

Another 10% decline and the pandemic murder surge will be completely over. At the current rate that will happen by this time next year.

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Author Of article : Kevin Drum

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